NEW YORK, NY - SEPTEMBER 30: FiveThirtyEight Politics Editor Michah Cohen, FiveThirtyEight Statistician, Author and Founder Nate Silver, and FiveThirtyEight Senior Political Writer and Analyst Harry Enten speak onstage at the Nate Silver and FiveThirtyEight: The Election Playoff Preview panel presented by ESPN during Advertising Week 2015 AWXII at Nasdaq MarketSite on September 30, 2015 in New York City. (Photo by Andrew Toth/Getty Images for AWXII)

NEW YORK, NY - SEPTEMBER 30:  FiveThirtyEight Politics Editor Michah Cohen, FiveThirtyEight Statistician, Author and Founder Nate Silver, and FiveThirtyEight Senior Political Writer and Analyst Harry Enten speak onstage at the Nate Silver and FiveThirtyEight: The Election Playoff Preview panel presented by ESPN during Advertising Week 2015 AWXII at Nasdaq MarketSite on September 30, 2015 in New York City.  (Photo by Andrew Toth/Getty Images for AWXII)